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When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?: Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027? Before Nov 1, 2026

No99%
Before Nov 1, 20261%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a reconciliation bill passes the House before November 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC