KalshiOpen
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1510
No79%
above 151021%
Price checked at
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1510 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1490 | Kalshi | 90% above 1490 | Open |
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1520 | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1515 | Kalshi | 89% No | Open |
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1505 | Kalshi | 51% No | Open |
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1495 | Kalshi | 79% above 1495 | Open |
| Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? above 1500 | Kalshi | 63% above 1500 | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC