Serbian parliamentary election winner?: Will Student list win the next Serbian parliamentary election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Student list wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-led list: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS). Student list: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serbian parliamentary election winner?: Will SNS-led list win the next Serbian parliamentary election? | Kalshi | 70% SNS-led list | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 01:14 AM UTC