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US student loan debt at end of 2026: Will total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 be above $1.86T? Above $1.86 trillion

Above $1.86 trillion51%
No49%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread7%
ResolvesFeb 12, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is above $1.86 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Student Loans memo item in the Federal Reserve’s Student Loans and Motor Vehicle Loans historical table, reported in millions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted. For resolution, the reported value will be converted to trillions of dollars by dividing by 1,000,000.

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As of Sep 30, 08:08 AM UTC