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Will legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations passed the House before Oct 1, 2026?

No99%
Before Oct 1, 20261%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If legislation that provides supplemental appropriations to the Department of Defense beyond regular annual defense appropriations has passed the House after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.

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As of Sep 30, 03:48 AM UTC