KalshiOpen

Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by May 31, 2027? Before June 2027

No80%

Before June 202720%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:52 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.3

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026? Before 2027	Kalshi	93% No	$80	—	—	Open
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2027? Before 2028	Kalshi	68% No	$8.8	—	—	Open
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by January 20, 2029? Before Jan 21, 2029	Kalshi	66% Before Jan 21, 2029	$0	—	—	Open
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by September 30, 2026? Before Oct 1, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC