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Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 203083%
No17%

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24h volume$11.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision holding that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee the right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, after Issuance and before January 1, 2030. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that those Amendments do not guarantee such a right. A decision recognizing the right and remanding for further proceedings resolves to Yes; if the cases are dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without deciding whether the asserted constitutional right exists, the market resolves to No.

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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC