KalshiOpen

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Oct 1, 2026?

No97%

Tanzania3%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

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Spread6%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Tanzania — a citizen of Tanzania diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Tanzania do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$506	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$500	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$500	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$73.1	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC