KalshiOpen

How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $63 by Dec 31, 2026? 62.99 or below

No86%

62.99 or below14%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC

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24h volume$318.9

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $63 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $65 by Dec 31, 2026? 64.99 or below	Kalshi	77% No	$443.5	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $60 by Dec 31, 2026? 59.99 or below	Kalshi	94% No	$343.8	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $56 by Dec 31, 2026? 55.99 or below	Kalshi	95% No	$261.8	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $62 by Dec 31, 2026? 61.99 or below	Kalshi	91% No	$146.8	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $64 by Dec 31, 2026? 63.99 or below	Kalshi	81% No	$145.5	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $57 by Dec 31, 2026? 56.99 or below	Kalshi	96% No	$106	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $61 by Dec 31, 2026? 60.99 or below	Kalshi	89% No	$32.4	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $50 by Dec 31, 2026? 49.99 or below	Kalshi	97% No	$2.8	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $59 by Dec 31, 2026? 58.99 or below	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $58 by Dec 31, 2026? 57.99 or below	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $55 by Dec 31, 2026? 54.99 or below	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:56 PM UTC