KalshiOpen

Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?

At least 2361%
No39%

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24h volume$5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 12Aug 24Sep 5Sep 17Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of governorships controlled by Republicans is at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract, then the market resolves to Yes. Any vacant governorship for which no election will be held in November 2026 will be treated as belonging to the party of the last person to hold that office. This count only applies to U.S. states.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 26 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 28 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 27 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 25 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 24 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi51% NoOpen
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi78% At least 22Open
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?: Will the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Kalshi89% At least 21Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:29 PM UTC