KalshiOpen

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026: Will US labor force participation rate for December 2026 be below 60.5%?

No95%
Below 60.5%5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is below 60.5%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end 2026” means the December 2026 reference month. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2026. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2026 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART.

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As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC