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When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?: Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

Before Oct 1, 202761%
No39%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC