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Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026: Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .8% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
No74%
Above .8%26%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$776
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC