KalshiOpen

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?

No90%

Above 7010%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:05 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesApr 5, 2027in 6 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	88% No	$416	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 120 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	72% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC