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Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 440000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?

Above 44000098%
No2%

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24h volume$110
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread19%
ResolvesJan 30, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 440000 total deliveries in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 515000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 485000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi71% Above 485000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 470000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi71% Above 470000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 500000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 490000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 505000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 475000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi97% Above 475000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 465000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi84% Above 465000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 460000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi82% Above 460000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 510000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 480000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi62% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 450000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi89% Above 450000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 495000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi77% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 520000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 455000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi85% Above 455000Open
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Will Tesla Inc. report Above 445000 total deliveries in Q3 2026?Kalshi92% Above 445000Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:29 PM UTC