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Pro Baseball new CBA agreement before Dec 2, 2026: Will the MLBPA and MLB agree to a new CBA (Collective Bargaining Agreement) before Dec 2, 2026?

No94%
New CBA agreement before Dec 2, 20266%

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24h volume$609.9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 2, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 8Aug 21Sep 4Sep 17Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the MLBPA and MLB agree to any new CBA (Collective Bargaining Agreement) after Jul 8, 2026 and before Dec 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A public announcement of a reached agreement or agreement in principle is sufficient to satisfy the Payout Criterion, unless otherwise specified. Formal execution or ratification is not required if such an announcement occurs within the specified time period. Likewise, if a formal execution of the agreement or a formal ratification by the relevant players' association membership occurs within the specified time period, the market will resolve Yes regardless of whether a public announcement was made before, at the same time as, or after such execution or ratification. Subsequent modifications, amendments, implementation details, or delays do not affect the resolution once a qualifying agreement, execution, or ratification has occurred.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 07:09 PM UTC