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Will the French United Left primary be canceled?: Will it be reported by Front Populaire 2027 that the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held before Oct 13, 2026? Yes

Yes90%
No10%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesOct 20, 2026in 21 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 5Sep 11Sep 17Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held after Issuance and before Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from Front Populaire 2027 qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

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As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC