KalshiOpen

French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Olivier Faure qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

No95%
Olivier Faure5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesApr 17, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Olivier Faure is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi59% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Sébastien Lecornu qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Raphaël Glucksmann qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi92% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi84% Marine Le PenOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Jordan Bardella qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi93% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will François Hollande qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi93% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Gabriel Attal qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi84% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Dominique de Villepin qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi90% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Bruno Retailleau qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi62% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Élisabeth Borne qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
French presidential election: who will advance?: Will Bernard Cazeneuve qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Kalshi92% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 10:27 AM UTC