KalshiOpen

How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?: Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$200,000 in 2026?

At least R$200,00052%
No48%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread22%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$200,000 from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$200,000 at any single point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$200,000 at any point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. If no data is available for from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC