KalshiOpen

Ruben Gallego out as Senator?: Will Ruben Gallego be out as Senator before Oct 1, 2026?

No99%
Before Oct 1, 20261%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ruben Gallego out as Senator?: Will Ruben Gallego be out as Senator before Nov 3, 2026?Kalshi96% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC