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Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration: Will the national debt hit $47.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?

$47.5 trillion59%
No41%

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24h volume$17
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesMar 31, 2029in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

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As of Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC