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Which G7 leader will leave office next?: Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office? Sanae Takaichi

No97%
Sanae Takaichi3%

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24h volume$0
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Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2045in 18 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Japan at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes. The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC