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Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be at least 5,000? 5,000 or Above

No85%
5,000 or Above15%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 is at least 5,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the composite Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI), published by the Shanghai Shipping Exchange. For purposes of this market, the applicable value is the composite SCFI value contained in the final publication designated for calendar year 2026. The Shanghai Shipping Exchange currently schedules the final 2026 SCFI publication for December 25, 2026. The first qualifying value published by a Source Agency will be used. Later revisions or corrections published after settlement will not be considered. All "between" ranges are inclusive of their upper and lower bounds. If the Shanghai Shipping Exchange formally changes the date of the final SCFI publication for 2026, the publication officially designated as the final 2026 publication will control.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be below 1,500?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 4,500 and 4,999.99? 4,500 to 4,999.99Kalshi93% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 3,000 and 3,499.99? 3,000 to 3,499.99Kalshi91% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 4,000 and 4,499.99? 4,000 to 4,499.99Kalshi93% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 2,500 and 2,999.99? 2,500 to 2,999.99Kalshi79% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 3,500 and 3,999.99? 3,500 to 3,999.99Kalshi90% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 1,500 and 1,999.99? 1,500 to 1,999.99Kalshi90% NoOpen
Shanghai Container Freight Index at end of 2026: Will Shanghai Containerized Freight Index composite index for the final publication designated for calendar year 2026 be between 2,000 and 2,499.99? 2,000 to 2,499.99Kalshi77% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 03:59 AM UTC