KalshiOpen

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?: Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by December 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET? Before December 2026

No75%
Before December 202625%

Price checked at

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24h volume$5.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting Jul 21, 2026 and before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC