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Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?: Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?

Before Jan 1, 202762%

No38%

Price checked at Oct 1, 08:25 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

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Spread8%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announces a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 1, 08:59 AM UTC