KalshiResolved

How high will NEAR get in 2026?: Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $4.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

Above $4.5084%
No16%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$1.3
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 11Sep 14Sep 18Sep 22Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the price of NEAR after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 4.50, then the market resolves to Yes. At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF NEARUSD_RTI price for NEAR. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How high will NEAR get in 2026?: Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $5.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?Kalshi89% Above $5.00Open
Will NEAR trimmed mean be above $5.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?Kalshi98% Above $5.50Open

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 06:54 PM UTC