Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan Before Aug 1, 2028

If the Supreme Court, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, rules a federal RCRA permit-renewal application is not final agency action immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government need not complete NEPA review before submitting such an application, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, either that the federal government’s submission of a RCRA permit-renewal application to a state or territorial regulator is not “final agency action” immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government is not required to comply with NEPA’s general environmental-review procedures before submitting a permit-renewal application under RCRA. A merits holding establishing either proposition resolves the market to Yes, whether or not the Court reaches the other question. The market resolves to No if the Court establishes neither proposition. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed, or remanded or otherwise disposed of without a merits holding establishing either proposition before August 1, 2028, the market resolves to No.