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Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026: Will the extent of the Arctic sea ice be below 4.8 million square km between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026? Below 4.8 million sq km
Below 4.8 million sq km99%
No1%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 3 days
Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.8 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the lowest individual daily Extent value reported in the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4 Northern Hemisphere daily CSV for a date within between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026, measured in millions of square kilometers.
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As of Sep 29, 11:06 PM UTC