KalshiOpen

Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.6% in August 2026?

No99%

Above 0.6%1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:32 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 15 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.6% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in August 2026?	Kalshi	98% No	$474.5	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.2% in August 2026?	Kalshi	66% Above 0.2%	$56.7	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.7% in August 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.5% in August 2026?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.4% in August 2026?	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in August 2026?	Kalshi	99% Above 0.0%	$0	—	—	Open
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.1% in August 2026?	Kalshi	96% Above 0.1%	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC