KalshiOpen

US share of global GDP in 2026: Will U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 be above 25.2%?

Above 25.2%98%
No2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJul 8, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively. Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.

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As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC