GDP growth in 2033? 1.1% to 1.5%
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 1.1% to 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth in 2033? 5.1% to 5.5% | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 6.1% or Above | Kalshi | 92% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 0.0% or Below | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 4.6% to 5.0% | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 5.6% to 6.0% | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 2.6% to 3.0% | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 3.6% to 4.0% | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 2.1% to 2.5% | Kalshi | 85% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 4.1% to 4.5% | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 3.1% to 3.5% | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 0.6% to 1.0% | Kalshi | 96% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 1.6% to 2.0% | Kalshi | 77% No | Open |
| GDP growth in 2033? 0.1% to 0.5% | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC