KalshiOpen

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of ByteDance as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

No86%
ByteDance14%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread8%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of ByteDance as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?: Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Kalshi78% NoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 07:20 AM UTC