Next Canadian federal election winner?: Will New Democratic Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If New Democratic Party wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Canadian federal election winner?: Will Conservative Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons? | Kalshi | 58% No | Open |
| Next Canadian federal election winner?: Will Liberal Party win the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons? | Kalshi | 54% Liberal Party | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 02:24 PM UTC