KalshiOpen
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?: Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026? Above 1.0%
Above 1.0%72%
No28%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 28, 2027in 4 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
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As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC