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Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?: Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028? Before 2028

No71%
Before 202829%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City.

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As of Sep 30, 10:27 AM UTC