KalshiOpen

Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?

Above 3.00%94%

No6%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:35 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread6%

ResolvesJan 8, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.75%?	Kalshi	80% Above 3.75%	$742.4	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.50%?	Kalshi	61% Above 4.50%	$229.4	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.75%?	Kalshi	87% No	$186	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.50%?	Kalshi	81% Above 3.50%	$142.9	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.25%?	Kalshi	86% Above 4.25%	$102.3	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.00%?	Kalshi	79% Above 4.00%	$89.3	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.25%?	Kalshi	89% Above 3.25%	$5.6	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 6.00%?	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.50%?	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.75%?	Kalshi	86% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.25%?	Kalshi	66% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 5.00%?	Kalshi	61% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?	Kalshi	93% Above 2.75%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.25%?	Kalshi	98% Above 2.25%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.00%?	Kalshi	93% Above 2.00%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?	Kalshi	92% Above 2.50%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.75%?	Kalshi	93% Above 1.75%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.00%?	Kalshi	98% Above 1.00%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.25%?	Kalshi	95% Above 1.25%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 1.50%?	Kalshi	96% Above 1.50%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC