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Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?: Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

No60%
Yes40%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC