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FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Anish Giri be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?

No79%
Anish Giri21%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread100%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anish Giri is rated top 5 on the October 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes. According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Wesley So be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi99% NoOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Vincent Keymer be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi83% NoOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi92% NoOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi98% Nodirbek AbdusattorovOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Magnus Carlsen be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi99% Magnus CarlsenOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Javokhir Sindarov be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi95% Javokhir SindarovOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Hikaru Nakamura be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi98% Hikaru NakamuraOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Fabiano Caruana be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi80% Fabiano CaruanaOpen
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in October 2026: Will Arjun Erigaisi be rated top 5 on the FIDE World Top Players Standard Rating List in October 2026?Kalshi95% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:31 PM UTC