KalshiOpen

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Chris Thomas become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?

No68%
Chris Thomas32%

Price checked at

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24h volume$15.4
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesSep 24, 2027in 12 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Chris Thomas becomes Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Alfred Cannan become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Lawrie Hooper become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Jane Poole-Wilson become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Tim Johnston become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Rob Callister become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will David Ashford become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Joney Faragher become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Claire Christian become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?: Will Clare Barber become Chief Minister of Isle of Man following the 2026 Manx general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC