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Bank of Mexico rate decision in November: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?

No98%
Cut 25bps2%

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24h volume$10
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesNov 6, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut 25bps at November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC