KalshiOpen

Will the Federal Communications Commission announce a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

Yes62%

No38%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:13 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread8%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 02:33 AM UTC