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Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

No95%
Clarissa5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesDec 31, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Clarissa has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Other legs of this event

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Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?Kalshi69% NoOpen
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Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?Kalshi94% NoOpen
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Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay: Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?Kalshi62% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC