KalshiOpen

When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Oct 1, 2026

No97%

Before Oct 1, 20263%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:12 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 74mph) forms in the Atlantic before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Oct 15, 2026	Kalshi	72% No	$46.3	—	—	Open
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Dec 1, 2026	Kalshi	65% Before Dec 1, 2026	$10	—	—	Open
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Nov 15, 2026	Kalshi	82% Before Nov 15, 2026	$1.2	—	—	Open
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Sep 15, 2026	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?: When will the next hurricane form? Before Nov 1, 2026	Kalshi	76% No	$0	—	—	Open

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC