KalshiOpen

US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 4.5%?

No57%

Above 4.5%43%

Price checked at Sep 30, 08:18 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesFeb 4, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2027 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2027 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2027,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	85% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	64% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	74% Above 4.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 5.5%?	Kalshi	67% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	79% Above 0.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 3.5%?	Kalshi	55% Above 3.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	85% Above 2.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 2.5%?	Kalshi	74% Above 2.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	73% Above 1.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 1.0%?	Kalshi	88% Above 1.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	71% Above 3.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2027: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2027 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	96% Above 0.0%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 08:21 PM UTC