KalshiOpen

US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 1.0%?

Above 1.0%71%

No29%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:37 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesFeb 4, 2037in 10 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2036 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2036,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 5.5%?	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 4.5%?	Kalshi	57% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 5.0%?	Kalshi	61% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	65% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 3.0%?	Kalshi	69% Above 3.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 1.5%?	Kalshi	75% Above 1.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 2.0%?	Kalshi	72% Above 2.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 2.5%?	Kalshi	74% Above 2.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 3.5%?	Kalshi	62% Above 3.5%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 4.0%?	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	70% Above 0.0%	$0	—	—	Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2036: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	70% Above 0.5%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 07:20 PM UTC