KalshiResolved

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia Hike 1-25bps at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Hike 1-25bps99%
No1%

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ResolvesSep 29, 202616 hours ago

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

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As of Sep 30, 06:51 AM UTC