KalshiOpen

Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?

No65%
Giorgia Meloni35%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesDec 22, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Roberto Vannacci become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Roberto Gualtieri become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Paolo Gentiloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Silvia Salis become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Ernesto Maria Ruffini become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Gaetano Manfredi become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Antonio Tajani become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?: Will Antonio Decaro become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Kalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC