KalshiOpen

Will David Hearn be charged with a any charge related to the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool crime before Oct 1, 2026?

No98%
Before Oct 1, 20262%

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24h volume$0
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Spread5%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 12Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If David Hearn has been formally charged with any charge related to the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool crime in federal after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.

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As of Sep 29, 07:25 PM UTC