Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026: Will the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 be above 6.2%?
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Resolution rules
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 6.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.” Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q3 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
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As of Sep 30, 08:23 PM UTC