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Will legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations passed the Senate before Oct 3, 2026?

No99%
Before Oct 3, 20261%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 19Sep 25Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations has passed the Senate after Issuance and before Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Oct 1, 02:59 AM UTC